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Publications available for downloading:

Smith, N.G., Dukes, J.S. In press. Plant respiration and photosynthesis in global-scale vegetation models: Incorporating acclimation to temperature and CO2. Global Change Biology. Article in pdf.

Ramage, B.S., Roman, L.A., Dukes, J.S. In press. Relationships between urban tree communities and the biomes in which they reside. Applied Vegetation Science. Article in pdf.

Rustad, L., Campbell, J., Dukes, J.S., Huntington, T., Fallon Lambert, K., Mohan, J., Rodenhouse, N. 2012. Changing climate, changing forests: The impacts of climate change on forests of the northeastern United States and eastern Canada. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-99. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. 48 p. Report available here.

Dieleman, W.I.J., Vicca, S., Dijkstra, F.A., Hagedorn, F., Hovenden, M.J., Larsen, K.S., Morgan, J., Volder, A., Beier, C., Dukes, J.S., King, J., Leuzinger, S., Linder, S., Luo, Y., Oren, R., De Angelis, P., Tingey, D., Hoosbeek, M.R., Janssens, I.A. 2012. Simple additive effects are rare: Responses of biomass and soil processes to combined manipulations of CO2 and temperature. Global Change Biology 18: 2681-2693. Article in pdf.

Steinweg, J.M., Dukes, J.S., Wallenstein, M.D. 2012. Modeling the effects of temperature and moisture on soil enzyme activity: Linking laboratory assays to continuous field data. Soil Biology and Biochemistry 55: 85-92. Article in pdf.

Vicca, S., Gilgen, A.K., Camino Serrano, M., Dreesen, F.E., Dukes, J.S., Estiarte, M., Gray, S.B., Guidolotti, G., Hoeppner, S.S., Leakey, A.D.B., Ogaya, R., Ort, D.R., Ostrogovic, M.Z., Rambal, S., Sardans, J., Schmitt, M., Siebers, M., van der Linden, L., van Straaten, O., Granier, A. 2012. Urgent need for a common metric to make precipitation manipulation experiments comparable. New Phytologist 195: 518-522. Article in pdf.

Brzostek, E.R., Blair, J.M., Dukes, J.S., Frey, S.D., Hobbie, S.E., Melillo, J.M., Mitchell, R.J., Pendall, E., Reich, P.B., Shaver, G.R., Stefanski, A., Tjoelker, M.G. and Finzi, A.C. 2012. The effect of experimental warming and precipitation change on proteolytic enzyme activity: positive feedbacks to nitrogen availability are not universal. Global Change Biology 18: 2617-2625. Article in pdf.

Diez, J.M., DŐAntonio, C.M., Dukes, J.S., Grosholz, E.D., Olden,, J.D., Sorte, C.J.B., Blumenthal, D.M., Bradley, B.A., Early, R.I., Ib‡–ez, I., Jones, S.J., Lawler, J.J., Miller, L.P. 2012. Will extreme climatic events facilitate biological invasions? Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 10: 249-257. Article in pdf.

Hoeppner, S.S., Dukes, J.S. 2012. Interactive responses of old-field plant growth and composition to warming and precipitation. Global Change Biology 18: 1754-1768. Article in pdf.

Suseela, V., Conant, R.T., Wallenstein, M.D., Dukes, J.S. 2012. Effects of soil moisture on the temperature sensitivity of heterotrophic respiration vary seasonally in an old-field climate change experiment. Global Change Biology 18: 336-348. Article in pdf.

Bradley, B.A., Blumenthal, D.M., Early, R.I., Grosholz, E.D., Lawler, J.J., Miller, L.P., Sorte, C.J.B., D'Antonio, C.M., Diez, J.M., Dukes, J.S., Ibanez, I., Olden,, J.D. 2012. Global change, global trade, and the next wave of plant invasions. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 10: 20-28. Article in pdf.

Aguilera, A.G., Colon-Carmona, A., Kesseli, R., Dukes, J.S. 2011. No accession-specific effect of rhizosphere soil communities on the growth and competition of Arabidopsis thaliana accessions. PLoS ONE 6(11): e27585. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0027585 Open access article.

Dukes, J.S., Chiariello, N.R., Loarie, S.R., Field, C.B. In press. Strong response of an invasive plant species (Centaurea solstitialis L.) to global environmental changes. Ecological Applications 21: 1887-1894. Open access article in pdf.

Tharayil, N., V. Suseela, D. J. Triebwasser, C. M. Preston, P. D. Gerard, and J. S. Dukes. 2011. Changes in the structural composition and reactivity of Acer rubrum leaf litter tannins exposed to warming and altered precipitation: climatic stress-induced tannins are more reactive. New Phytologist 191: 132-145. New Phytologist. Article in pdf. The definitive version is available at

Shao, G., Dai, L., Dukes, J.S., Jackson, R.B., Tang, L., Zhao, J. 2011. Increasing forest carbon sequestration through cooperation and shared strategies between China and the United States. Environmental Science & Technology. PDF.

Luo, Y., Melillo, J., Niu, S., Beier, C., Clark, J.S., Classen, A.T., Davidson, E., Dukes, J.S., Evans, R.D., Field, C.B., Czimczik, C.I., Keller, M., Kimball, B.A., Kueppers, L.M., Norby, R.J., Pelini, S.L., Pendall, E., Rastetter, E., Six, J., Smith, M., Tjoelker, M.G., Torn, M.S. 2011. Coordinated approaches to quantify long-term ecosystem dynamics in response to global change. Global Change Biology 17: 843-854. PDF.

Dukes, J.S. 2011. Responses of invasive species to a changing climate and atmosphere. In: Fifty years of invasion ecology: the legacy of Charles Elton, David M. Richardson, Ed. Blackwell Publishing, Oxford, England. PDF.

Hooper, D.U., Dukes, J.S. 2010. Functional composition controls invasion success in a California serpentine grassland. Journal of Ecology. 98:764-777. Article in pdf. Supporting information.

Aguilera, A., Alpert, P., Dukes, J.S., Harrington, R. 2010. Ecosystem impacts of the invasive plant Fallopia japonica. Biological Invasions. 12:1243-1252. Via SpringerLink (definitive version) or Article in PDF.

Charles, H., Dukes, J.S. 2009. Effects of warming and altered precipitation on plant and nutrient dynamics of a New England salt marsh. Ecological Applications. 19: 1758-1773. Article in pdf.

Dukes, J.S., Pontius, J., Orwig, D.A., Garnas, J.R., Rodgers, V.L., Brazee, N.J., Cooke, B.J., Theoharides, K.A., Stange, E.E., Harrington, R.A., Ehrenfeld, J.G., Gurevitch, J., Lerdau, M., Stinson, K., Wick, R., Ayres, M.P. 2009. Responses of insect pests, pathogens and invasive species to climate change in the forests of northeastern North America: What can we predict? Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 39: 231-248. Article in pdf.

Rustad, L., Campbell, J., Cox, R., Dukes, J., Huntington, T.G., Magill, A., Richardson, A., Mohan, J., Pontius, J., Rodenhouse, N.L., Watson, M.R. 2009. NE Forests 2100: A synthesis of climate change impacts on forests of the northeastern US and eastern Canada. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 39: v-x. Article in pdf.

Gerten, D., Luo, Y., le Maire, G., Parton, W.J., Keough, C., Weng, E., Beier, C., Ciais, P., Cramer, W., Dukes, J.S., Sowerby, A., Hanson, P.J., Knapp, A., Linder, S., Nepstad, D., Rustad, L. 2008. Modelled Effects of Precipitation on Ecosystem Carbon and Water Dynamics in Different Climatic Zones. Global Change Biology. 14: 2365-2379. Article in pdf.

Luo, Y., Gerten, D., le Maire, G., Parton, W.J., Weng, E., Zhou, X., Keough, C., Beier, C., Ciais, P., Cramer, W., Dukes, J.S., Emmett, B., Hanson, P.J., Knapp, A., Linder, S., Nepstad, D., Rustad, L. 2008. Modelled Interactive Effects of Precipitation, Temperature, and CO2 on Ecosystem Carbon and Water Dynamics in Different Climatic Zones. Global Change Biology. 14: 1986-1999. Article in pdf.

Hellmann, J.J., Byers, J.E., Bierwagen, B.G., Dukes, J.S. 2008. Five potential consequences of climate change for invasive species. Conservation Biology 22: 534-543. Article in pdf.

Lee, H., II, Reusser, D.A., Olden, J.D., Smith, S.S., Graham, J., Burkett, V., Dukes, J.S., Piorkowski, R.J., McPhedran, J. 2008. Integrated monitoring and information systems for managing aquatic invasive species in a changing climate. Conservation Biology 22: 575-584. Article in pdf.

Pyke, C.R., Thomas, R., Porter R.D., Hellmann, J., Dukes, J.S., Lodge, D., Chavarria, G. 2008. Climate change and invasive species policy: interactions, tensions, and synergies. Conservation Biology 22: 585-592. Article in pdf.

Amatangelo, K.L., Dukes, J.S., Field, C.B. 2008. Annual grassland responses to litter manipulation. Journal of Vegetation Science 19: 605-612. Article in pdf.

Dukes, J.S., Shaw, M.R. 2007. Responses to changing atmosphere and climate. Pages 218-229 in: Ecology and Management of California Grasslands, Stromberg, M., Corbin, J., and D'Antonio, C., eds. University of California Press, Berkeley. Article in pdf.

Dukes, J.S. 2007. Tommorow's plant communities: Different, but how? New Phytologist 176: 235-237. Article in pdf. The definitive version is available at

Theoharides, K.A., Dukes, J.S. 2007. Plant invasion across space and time: factors affecting nonindigenous species success during four stages of invasion. New Phytologist 176: 256-273. Article in pdf. The definitive version is available at (Open access article)

Norby, R.J., Rustad, L.E., Dukes, J.S., Ojima, D.S., Parton, W.J., Del Grosso, S.J., McMurtrie, R.E., Pepper, D.A. 2007. Ecosystem responses to warming and interacting global change factors. Pages 45-58 in: Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World, J. Canadell, D. Pataki, L. Pitelka, eds. Springer, New York. Article in pdf.

Vila, M., Corbin, J.D., Dukes, J.S., Pino, J., Smith, S.D. 2007. Linking plant invasions to global environmental change. Pages 93-102 in: Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World, J. Canadell, D. Pataki, L. Pitelka, eds. Springer, New York. Article in pdf.

Charles, H., Dukes, J.S. 2007. Impacts of invasive species on ecosystem services. Pages 217-237 in: Biological Invasions, W. Nentwig, ed. Springer, Berlin. Corrected proof in pdf.

Dukes, J.S., Chiariello, N.R., Cleland, E.E., Moore, L.A., Shaw, M.R., Thayer, S., Tobeck, T., Mooney, H.A., Field, C.B. 2005. Responses of grassland production to single and multiple global environmental changes. PLoS Biology, 3(10): 1829-1837. Article in pdf. (Open access article)

Dukes, J.S. and Mooney, H.A. 2004. Disruption of ecosystem processes in western North America by invasive species. Revista Chilena de Historia Natural, 77: 411-437. Article in pdf. (Open access article)

Hooper, D.U., Dukes, J.S. 2004. Overyielding among plant functional groups in a long-term experiment. Ecology Letters, 7: 95-105. Article in pdf.

Luo,Y., Su, B., Currie, W.S., Dukes, J.S., Finzi, A., Hartwig, U., Hungate, B., McMurtrie, R., Oren, R., Parton, W.J., Pataki, D., Shaw, R., Zak, D.R., Field, C. 2004. Progressive Nitrogen Limitation of Ecosystem Responses to Rising Atmospheric CO2. BioScience, 54: 731-739. Article in pdf.

Dukes, J.S. 2003. Burning buried sunshine: human consumption of ancient solar energy. Climatic Change, 61(1-2): 31-44. Article in pdf.

Hungate, B.A., Dukes, J.S., Shaw, M.R., Luo, Y., Field, C.B. 2003. Nitrogen and climate change. Science, 302: 1512-1513. Article in pdf.

Levine, J.M., Vila, M., D'Antonio, C.M., Dukes, J.S., Grigulis, K., and Lavorel, S. 2003. Mechanisms underlying the impacts of exotic plant invasions. Proceedings of the Royal Sociey of London B, 270: 775-781. Article in pdf.

Dukes, J.S. 2002. Species composition and diversity affect grassland susceptibility and response to invasion. Ecological Applications, 12(2): 602-617. Article in pdf.

Dukes, J.S. and Hungate, B.A. 2002. Elevated CO2 and litter decomposition in California annual grasslands: which mechanisms matter? Ecosystems, 5(2): 171-183. Abstract. Article in pdf.

Dukes, J.S. 2002. Comparison of the effect of elevated CO2 on an invasive species (Centaurea solstitialis) in monoculture and community settings. Plant Ecology, 160(2): 225-234. Abstract. Article in pdf.

Dukes, J.S. 2001. Productivity and complementarity in grassland microcosms of varying diversity. Oikos, 94(3):468-480. Article in pdf. (I have included Figure 1 in this pdf file - it was left out of the original electronic publication. The correction with Figure 1 was published in 2001 as Oikos 95(3):549. Erratum in pdf.)

Dukes, J.S. 2001. Biodiversity and invasibility in grassland microcosms. Oecologia, 126(4):563-568. Article in pdf. The original HTML publication is available on LINK at

Dukes, J.S. 2000. Will the rising atmospheric CO2 concentration affect biological invaders? In: Invasive Species in a Changing World, H. Mooney and R. Hobbs, eds. Island Press, Washington, pp. 95-113. Preprint in pdf.

Dukes, J.S. and Field, C.B. 2000. Diverse mechanisms for CO2 effects on grassland litter decomposition. Global Change Biology 6 (2): 145-154. Abstract. Article in pdf.

Dukes, J.S. and Mooney, H.A. 1999. Does global change increase the success of biological invaders? Trends in Ecology and Evolution 14 (4): 135-139. Abstract. Article in pdf.

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